The most alarming thing about this graph is not just the amount of change, but the smooth consistenc...
TL;DR · AI 摘要
文章通过图表揭示全球气温变化趋势，警告2026-2027年因强厄尔尼诺现象将出现极端高温。
核心要点
- 2026-2027年全球气温可能突破历史记录，受强厄尔尼诺现象影响
- Paul Graham将气温曲线平稳增长比作初创公司增长曲线
- Zeke Hausfather预测2026年气温将高于1850年以来任何年份
结构提纲
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- §引言
Paul Graham指出气温变化曲线的平稳性比数值更令人担忧
- ·核心观点
将气温增长曲线类比为初创公司增长曲线，暗示不可逆趋势
- ›预测数据
2026-2027年全球气温将因强厄尔尼诺现象达到历史峰值
- ·专家补充
Zeke Hausfather提供具体温度预测并强调气候模型的可靠性
思维导图
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- 全球气温预测与厄尔尼诺影响
- 核心发现
- 气温曲线平稳增长趋势
- 2026-2027年极端高温预测
- 关键人物
- Paul Graham（类比初创公司增长）
- Zeke Hausfather（气候模型专家）
金句 / Highlights
值得收藏与分享的关键句。
The most alarming thing about this graph is not just the amount of change, but the smooth consistency of the curve
2026 and 2027 will be record-smashing years for global temperatures
If this were a startup I'd be really confident about their future growth
Paul Graham on X: "The most alarming thing about this graph is not just the amount of change, but the smooth consistency of the curve. If this were a startup I'd be really confident about their future growth. Unfortunately it is instead the planet we live on." / X
Paul Graham
@paulg
The most alarming thing about this graph is not just the amount of change, but the smooth consistency of the curve. If this were a startup I'd be really confident about their future growth. Unfortunately it is instead the planet we live on.
Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath
Aug 2
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
6:28 PM · Aug 4, 2026
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